Arthur Hayes: If the U.S. is involved in the Iran conflict for a long time, it will force the Federal Reserve to print money and drive up the price of Bitcoin
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes published an analysis stating that since 1985, every U.S. president has initiated military actions against Middle Eastern countries, and Trump has continued this tradition. He uses simple logic to judge Bitcoin's trend: the longer the U.S. is involved in the Iran situation, the more likely the Federal Reserve is to cut interest rates or print money to support war expenditures, which will drive up Bitcoin prices.
Regarding trading strategies, Hayes stated: "Currently, we are unclear how long Trump can maintain his involvement, spending billions or even trillions of dollars to reshape Iranian politics according to his wishes, nor do we know how much geopolitical and financial market shock he can withstand before retreating. The wise approach is to wait and see. The real opportunity to buy Bitcoin and quality altcoins like HYPE is after the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates or increases money supply to support the Iranian government’s objectives."
You may also like

Make Probability an Asset: A Forward-Looking Perspective on Predictive Market Agents

Consumer application issues

Arthur Hayes: The flames of war in the Middle East rise, Bitcoin is bullish

Legendary investor Naval: In the AI era, traditional software engineers have no value?

More absurd than knowing about the war in advance is knowing in advance about the assassination of Soleimani

Key Market Insights on March 2nd, how much did you miss?

How to systematically track high-performing addresses on Polymarket?

From Stanford Lab to Silicon Valley Streets: How OpenMind is Solving the "Last Mile" Problem of the Machine Economy?

PlanX: Reconstructing On-Chain Execution with AI, Moving Towards a New Paradigm

US Judge Allows Binance Unregistered Token Lawsuit to Advance
Key Takeaways: A federal judge in Manhattan dismissed Binance’s petition to resolve a securities lawsuit through private arbitration,…

Crypto VC Paradigm Plans $1.5 Billion Expansion into AI and Robotics
Key Takeaways: Paradigm is setting up a new $1.5 billion fund to explore AI, robotics, and other emerging…

Ethereum Smart Accounts Set to Launch Within a Year, According to Vitalik Buterin
Key Takeaways: Ethereum’s “account abstraction” or smart accounts might be introduced in the coming year through the Hegota…

Bitcoin Recovers After Iran Conflict Shocks Market, Reverses $5K Fall in Just 24 Hours
Key Takeaways: Bitcoin dropped to approximately $63,000 amid tensions but rebounded to $68,200 within a day. Volatility led…

Former Mt. Gox CEO Suggests Hardfork to Retrieve $5.2 Billion in Bitcoin
Key Takeaways: Mark Karpelès, former CEO of Mt. Gox, proposes a Bitcoin network hard fork to access nearly…

South Korea National Tax Service’s Mistake Resulted in $4.8 Million Crypto Loss
Key Takeaways South Korea’s National Tax Service inadvertently exposed private keys, resulting in a $4.8 million crypto loss.…

Morgan Stanley Seeks National Trust Charter for Cryptocurrency Custody
Key Takeaways: Morgan Stanley has initiated a significant step toward digital asset management by applying for a national…

Solana Price Outlook: Major ETF Inflows Hint at Institutional Moves
Key Takeaways: Solana has experienced substantial ETF inflows, prompting speculation about institutional buy-in. On February 25, Solana recorded…

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Wikipedia Founder Warns BTC Could Plunge Below $10K — Should Investors Worry?
Key Takeaways Wikipedia co-founder Jimmy Wales warns Bitcoin might decline to below $10,000, prompting a bearish outlook. Wales…