Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Keeps Trending Down – Time For A Liquidity-Driven Surge?
By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/04 02:45:01
0
Share
Bitcoin is trading just below the $100,000 mark after reaching a local high of $97,938, signaling growing bullish momentum. After weeks of consolidation, last week’s surge has flipped sentiment across the market, with bulls now firmly in control. Analysts are increasingly optimistic, pointing to the tightening supply dynamics as a potential catalyst for further upside. Top analyst Daan shared insights showing that Bitcoin exchange reserves continue to decline rapidly. This trend highlights a significant shift in investor behavior. As coins are pulled off exchanges, selling pressure typically decreases, often a precursor to extended rallies. With BTC now holding above previous resistance and pressing toward a historic milestone, the supply-side squeeze could set the stage for a sharp leg higher. The $100K level remains a psychological and technical barrier, but if broken with strong volume, it may trigger a broader rally across the market. As liquidity tightens and long-term holders accumulate, all eyes are on whether Bitcoin can sustain this momentum and again enter price discovery. Bitcoin On-Chain Data Signals Strength Bitcoin is currently consolidating above critical liquidity levels, trading just below the $100,000 mark after a multi-week surge that began with a decisive break above $90,000. The bulls are in short-term control, but they now face the challenge of sustaining momentum. Holding above this range is essential to confirm a new leg of the rally and prevent a deeper pullback. Despite strong gains, the market remains fragile, shaped by global uncertainty and persistent trade tensions, particularly between the US and China. After months of heavy selling pressure from all-time highs, Bitcoin is showing renewed strength and attempting to establish a broader bullish structure. The recent price action signals that investors are beginning to rotate back into risk assets. Yet, macroeconomic instability and potential recession risks still loom large, suggesting that price action could remain volatile. Daan shared on-chain data that supports the bullish thesis. Bitcoin exchange reserves continue to decline rapidly, a trend that has accelerated since the last US election and during the recent price consolidation. This drop in exchange balances historically precedes supply crunches, which can fuel aggressive rallies. Should central banks reintroduce large-scale liquidity injections, Bitcoin would likely respond with a powerful breakout. For now, bulls must hold the line. BTC Price Action Details: Key Levels To Watch Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading around $96,600 after a strong multi-week rally that began near the $84,000 level. The 4-hour chart shows a clear bullish structure, with higher highs and higher lows forming since mid-April. Price action remains firmly above both the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which sit at $86,925 and $89,428, respectively. This suggests strong support and continued momentum on the short-term trend. However, BTC has now entered a tight consolidation range just below the psychological $100,000 resistance level, with short-term resistance forming near $97,900. Volume is showing some decline on recent candles, hinting at potential buyer exhaustion or a pause before the next leg. If bulls can break through $98,000 with volume confirmation, a clean sweep above $100K is highly likely, targeting the $103,600 zone as the next major resistance. On the downside, any drop below $95,000 could invalidate short-term bullish momentum and trigger a retracement back toward the $90,000-$91,000 range—an area of high liquidity and previous consolidation. Overall, BTC remains technically strong, but the next decisive move will come from how it handles the $97K–$100K range in the coming sessions. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers. Source: https://bitcoinist.com/bitcoin-supply-on-exchanges-keeps-trending-down-time-for-a-liquidity-driven-surge/
You may also like

Particle Founder: The entrepreneurial insights I have gained the most from in the past year
Stop lean startup, stop lightning entrepreneurship, and think carefully about what your product aspirations are.

Huang Renxun's latest podcast transcript: The future of Nvidia, the development of embodied intelligence and agents, the explosion of inference demand, and the public relations crisis of artificial intelligence
The competition in the future is not just about whose model is larger or whose computing power is stronger, but also about who understands the industry better, who can embed AI more deeply into real processes, and who can organize these capabilities into a runnable and scalable system.

OKX Ventures Research Report: AI Agent Economic Infrastructure Research Report (Part 1)
The existing infrastructure is hostile to the Agent economy. Agents can think and act independently at the "capability level," but at the "economic level," they are still locked into infrastructure designed for humans.

The migration of settlement rights: B18 and the institutional starting point of on-chain banks
In the traditional system, banks decide the settlement; in the on-chain system, code begins to take over this responsibility.

From Tencent and Circle: Looking at the Simple and Difficult Questions of Investment
The AI narrative continues to ferment, but the recent performance of related stocks varies, with some in the midst of summer and others as if in winter.

The second half of stablecoins no longer belongs to the crypto circle
What Coinbase doesn't want, Mastercard is eager to buy.

Cursor "Shell" Kimi Controversy Reversed: From Copyright Infringement Allegations to Authorized Collaboration, China's Open Source Model Once Again Becomes a Global AI Foundation
Cursor was accused of being based on Kimi K2.5, which sparked controversy, and was later confirmed to be compliant through Fireworks AI due diligence.

The Real Reason Tokens Don't Sell: 90% of Crypto Projects Overlook Investor Relations
Provide an Investor Relations Best Practices Guide for Crypto Projects.

Is the income of pump.fun real, earning a million dollars a day despite the market downturn?
If it can really earn this much, what is the reason for the low price of $PUMP?

The real reason why tokens are not selling: 90% of crypto projects neglect investor relations
Investor Relations Practice Guide for Cryptocurrency Projects.

Who is the true winner of the "Tokenization" narrative?
Virtually everyone benefits, but the reason for the benefit, the timing, and the underlying logic are completely different.

Moss: The Era of AI-Traded by Anyone | Project Introduction
AI Trading Agent is rapidly growing its infrastructure.

Chip Smuggling Case Exposes Regulatory Loophole | Rewire News Evening Update
AI chips have become a strategic asset more sensitive than missiles

How a Structured AI Crypto Trading Bot Won at the WEEX Hackathon
Ritmex demonstrates how disciplined risk control and structured signals can make an AI crypto trading bot more stable and reliable on WEEX, highlighting the importance of combining execution discipline with scalable AI trading systems.

Old Indicator Fails, Three Major New Signals Emerge: BTC True Bottom May Still Be Below $60K
When the grocery shopping auntie on the subway, or Tony the hairdresser, start asking you about BTC, crypto, and cryptocurrency investments, selling immediately will be the only best option.

Meeting OpenClaw Founder at a Hackathon: What Else Can Lobsters Do?
Imperial College London MetaGame: AI Agent × Web3 Landing Three Major Directions.

Huang Renxun's Latest Podcast Transcript: NVIDIA's Future, Embodied Intelligence and Agent Development, Soaring Demand for Inferencing, and AI's PR Crisis
The future of competition is not only about whose model is bigger, whose computing power is stronger, but also about who understands the industry better, who can more deeply integrate AI into real processes, and who can organize these capabilities into a set of executable, scalable systems
How a Structured AI Crypto Trading Bot Won at the WEEX Hackathon
Crypto_Trade shows how structured inputs and controlled adaptability can build a more stable and reliable AI crypto trading bot within the WEEX AI Trading Hackathon, highlighting a practical path toward scalable AI trading systems.
Particle Founder: The entrepreneurial insights I have gained the most from in the past year
Stop lean startup, stop lightning entrepreneurship, and think carefully about what your product aspirations are.
Huang Renxun's latest podcast transcript: The future of Nvidia, the development of embodied intelligence and agents, the explosion of inference demand, and the public relations crisis of artificial intelligence
The competition in the future is not just about whose model is larger or whose computing power is stronger, but also about who understands the industry better, who can embed AI more deeply into real processes, and who can organize these capabilities into a runnable and scalable system.
OKX Ventures Research Report: AI Agent Economic Infrastructure Research Report (Part 1)
The existing infrastructure is hostile to the Agent economy. Agents can think and act independently at the "capability level," but at the "economic level," they are still locked into infrastructure designed for humans.
The migration of settlement rights: B18 and the institutional starting point of on-chain banks
In the traditional system, banks decide the settlement; in the on-chain system, code begins to take over this responsibility.
From Tencent and Circle: Looking at the Simple and Difficult Questions of Investment
The AI narrative continues to ferment, but the recent performance of related stocks varies, with some in the midst of summer and others as if in winter.
The second half of stablecoins no longer belongs to the crypto circle
What Coinbase doesn't want, Mastercard is eager to buy.