Greeks.Live: Limited Upside Momentum for Bull Market Restart

BlockBeats News, December 11th, Researcher Adam from Greeks.Live posted on social media that in the just-concluded Federal Reserve interest rate meeting, as expected, there was a 25 basis point rate cut. The Federal Reserve announced that it will resume purchasing $40 billion in short-term U.S. Treasury bonds (T-bills). The dovish attitude can effectively supplement the liquidity of the financial system, undoubtedly a clear positive for the market.

However, it is now premature to talk about restarting the bull market through QE. With Christmas and end-of-year settlements approaching, this time of year has historically been the period of lowest liquidity in the crypto market, with low market activity. The momentum to restart the bull market is very limited.

Looking at cryptocurrency options data, currently, over 50% of the options positions are stacked at the end of December. The biggest pain point for BTC is at the $100,000 integer level, while the biggest pain point for ETH is at $3200. The main term IV is trending downward this month, and the market's volatility expectations for this month are gradually decreasing.

In conclusion, the cryptocurrency market is currently relatively weak, year-end liquidity is also poor, market sentiment is low, and a slow decline is the mainstream view in the options market. However, one should also be prepared for a market reversal brought about by unexpected positive news.