IOTA price prediction: buy or sell ahead of the Rebased upgrade?

By: invezz|2025/05/04 14:45:01
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IOTA price remained in a tight range on Sunday as investors waited for the biggest upgrade in the network’s history. The token was trading at $0.20, a few points below the April high of $0.2415. This article explores what to expect ahead of Monday’s Rebased upgrade. IOTA rebased upgrade is hereIOTA, a distributed ledger technology network, will be in the spotlight this week as the developers launch the Rebased upgrade after months of testing. Rebased will introduce new changes that will change the network forever and make it a viable alternative to popular chains like Ethereum, Solana, and Sui.The first major part of the upgrade will be the introduction of smart contracts in the network. This will enable developers to build applications in areas like gaming, decentralized finance (DeFi), and stablecoins.This will be a big change compared to the current version of IOTA. The current version uses a technology known as tangle, which uses the directed acyclic graph (DAG) approach. Tangle is a network of transactions, where each transaction confirms the two previous ones. Tangle helps the network to eliminate the need for miners as users validate their transactions themselves. Dominik Schiener@DomSchiener·FollowThe most important upgrade in IOTAs history And all the exchanges are supporting it. Thank you Binance I can’t wait for Monday 3:45 PM · May 3, 2025363ReplyCopy linkRead 37 repliesTherefore, the rebased network will transform it from the tangle into a smart contract chain, which will be powered by the over 150 validators. These validators, including Nansen and Blockspace, are used to confirm transactions in the network.The other big change is that IOTA will now have staking, where investors are expected to earn an annual yield of between 10% and 15% over time. This is notable since these investors don’t earn anything today. Further, IOTA’s network will have Move Virtual Machine that will power its smart contracts. Eventually, the developers hope that it will handle over 50,000 transactions per second, much higher than what most blockchains have today. It will also have low transaction fees, sponsored transaction fees, and storage deposits. Rebased will also have an integration with Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), enabling apps created in the network to communicate with those built on the Ethereum network.Risks and opportunitiesThe Rebased upgrade could make IOTA a better chain, boosting its price in the long term. A good example of this is Sonic, which transitioned from Fantom earlier this year. It has continued seeing a lot of traction that have pushed its total value locked to over $1 billion.The risk, however, is that IOTA will become just another chain in the crypto industry. That’s because the industry is highly saturated, with hundreds of chains that all offer unique solutions. IOTA has tried to become a better chain in the past. The most notable of this was its launch of Shimmer, a network that has struggled to gain traction among developers.IOTA price technical analysisIOTA price chart | Source: TradingViewThe daily chart shows that the IOTA price has been in a tight range in the past few days. It peaked at $0.2415 on April 27 and then pulled back to the current $0.2055. This rebound happened after the coin formed a giant falling wedge pattern, a popular bullish reversal sign. Therefore, there is a risk that the IOTA coin will drop after the Rebased upgrade because of a situation known as buying the rumor and selling the news.However, a jump above the key resistance level at $0.2415 will validate the bullish outlook and lead to more gains.The post IOTA price prediction: buy or sell ahead of the Rebased upgrade? appeared first on Invezz

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Sun Valley Releases 2025 Financial Report: Bitcoin Mining Revenue Reaches $670 Million, Accelerating Transformation to AI Infrastructure Platform


On March 16, 2026, in Dallas, Texas, USA, CanGu Company (New York Stock Exchange code: CANG, hereinafter referred to as "CanGu" or the "Company") today announced its unaudited financial performance for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2025. As a bitcoin mining enterprise relying on a globally operated layout and dedicated to building an integrated energy and AI computing power platform, CanGu is actively advancing its business transformation and infrastructure development.


2025 Full Year and Fourth Quarter Financial and Operational Highlights


• Financial Performance:

Total revenue for the full year 2025 was $688.1 million, with $179.5 million in the fourth quarter.

Bitcoin mining business revenue for the full year was $675.5 million, with $172.4 million in the fourth quarter.

Full-year adjusted EBITDA was $24.5 million, while the fourth quarter was -$156.3 million.


• Mining Operations and Costs:

A total of 6,594.6 bitcoins were mined throughout the year, averaging 18.07 bitcoins per day; of which 1,718.3 bitcoins were mined in the fourth quarter, averaging 18.68 bitcoins per day.

The average mining cost for the full year (excluding miner depreciation) was $79,707 per bitcoin, and for the fourth quarter, it was $84,552;

The all-in sustaining costs were $97,272 and $106,251 per bitcoin, respectively.

As of the end of December 2025, the company has cumulatively produced 7,528.4 bitcoins since entering the bitcoin mining business.


• Strategic Progress:

The company has completed the termination of the American Depositary Receipt (ADR) program and transitioned to a direct listing on the NYSE to enhance information transparency and align with its strategic direction, with a long-term goal of expanding its investor base.


CEO Paul Yu stated: "2025 marked the company's first full year as a bitcoin mining enterprise, characterized by rapid execution and structural reshaping. We completed a comprehensive adjustment of our asset system and established a globally distributed mining network. Additionally, the company introduced a new management team, further strengthening our capabilities and competitive advantage in the digital asset and energy infrastructure space. The completion of the NYSE direct listing and USD pricing also signifies our transformation into a global AI infrastructure company."


"As we enter 2026, the company will continue to optimize its balance sheet structure and enhance operational efficiency and cost resilience through adjustments to the miner portfolio. At the same time, we are advancing our strategic transformation into an AI infrastructure provider. Leveraging EcoHash, we will utilize our capabilities in scalable computing power and energy networks to provide cost-effective AI inference solutions. The relevant site transformations and product development are progressing simultaneously, and the company is well-positioned to sustain its execution in the new phase."


The company's Chief Financial Officer, Michael Zhang, stated: "By 2025, the company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth through its scaled mining operations. Despite recording a net loss of $452.8 million from ongoing operations, mainly due to one-time transformation costs and market-driven fair value adjustments, the company, from a financial perspective, will reduce its leverage, optimize its Bitcoin reserve strategy and liquidity management, introduce new capital to strengthen its financial position, and seize investment opportunities in high-potential areas such as AI infrastructure while navigating market volatility."


Fourth Quarter 2025 Ongoing Operations Financial Performance


Revenue


The total revenue for the fourth quarter was $1.795 billion. Of this, the Bitcoin mining business contributed $1.724 billion in revenue, generating 1,718.3 Bitcoins during the quarter. Revenue from the international automobile trading business was $4.8 million.


Operating Costs and Expenses


The total operating costs and expenses for the fourth quarter amounted to $4.56 billion, primarily attributed to expenses related to the Bitcoin mining business, as well as impairment of mining machines and fair value losses on Bitcoin collateral receivables.


This includes:

· Cost of Revenue (excluding depreciation): $1.553 billion

· Cost of Revenue (depreciation): $38.1 million

· Operating Expenses: $9.9 million (including related-party expenses of $1.1 million)

· Mining Machine Impairment Loss: $81.4 million

· Fair Value Loss on Bitcoin Collateral Receivables: $171.4 million


Profit Situation


The operating loss for the fourth quarter was $276.6 million, a significant increase from a loss of $0.7 million in the same period of 2024, primarily due to the downward trend in Bitcoin prices.


The net loss from ongoing operations was $285 million, compared to a net profit of $2.4 million in the same period last year.


The adjusted EBITDA was -$156.3 million, compared to $2.4 million in the same period last year.


Full Year 2025 Ongoing Operations Financial Performance


Revenue

The total revenue for the full year was $6.881 billion. Of this, the revenue from the Bitcoin mining business was $6.755 billion, with a total output of 6,594.6 Bitcoins for the year. Revenue from the international automobile trading business was $9.8 million.


Operating Costs and Expenses


The total annual operating costs and expenses amount to $1.1 billion.


Specifically, they include:

· Revenue Cost (excluding depreciation): $543.3 million

· Revenue Cost (depreciation): $116.6 million

· Operating Expenses: $28.9 million (including related-party expenses of $1.1 million)

· Miner Impairment Loss: $338.3 million

· Bitcoin Collateral Receivable Fair Value Change Loss: $96.5 million


Profitability


The full-year operating loss is $437.1 million. The continuing operations net loss is $452.8 million, while in 2024, there was a net profit of $4.8 million.


The 2025 non-GAAP adjusted net profit is $24.5 million (compared to $5.7 million in 2024). This measure does not include share-based compensation expenses; refer to "Use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures" for details.


Financial Position


As of December 31, 2025, the company's key assets and liabilities are as follows:


· Cash and Cash Equivalents: $41.2 million

· Bitcoin Collateral Receivable (Non-current, related party): $663.0 million

· Miner Net Value: $248.7 million

· Long-Term Debt (related party): $557.6 million


In February 2026, the company sold 4,451 bitcoins and repaid a portion of related-party long-term debt to reduce financial leverage and optimize the asset-liability structure.


Stock Repurchase


As per the stock repurchase plan disclosed on March 13, 2025, as of December 31, 2025, the company had repurchased a total of 890,155 shares of Class A common stock for approximately $1.2 million.


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