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Next Week Macro Outlook: CPI Takes on the Fed's Hawkish Stance, Geopolitical Tensions Brace for the Index Sell-off
BlockBeats Update, January 10th: In the first full trading week of 2026, a cross-asset synchronous rise is observed, and Wall Street's risk sentiment is experiencing a revival. Investor appetite for risk is evident. The S&P 500 Index rose by 1.6% this week, and the Russell 2000 Index increased by 4.6%. The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO) attracted $10 billion in just a few days—a staggering pace for a passive fund. These are signs of a strong start to the year.
Tuesday 21:30, US December Non-Seasonally Adjusted CPI YoY, Seasonally Adjusted CPI MoM, Seasonally Adjusted Core CPI MoM, Non-Seasonally Adjusted Core CPI YoY;
Wednesday 21:30, US November Retail Sales MoM, US November PPI YoY/MoM, US Q3 Current Account;
Thursday 21:30, US Initial Jobless Claims up to January 10th, US January NY Fed/Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, US November Import Price Index MoM.
In addition, Federal Reserve officials will be speaking intensively next week, with the belief that there will be no rate cut before Chair Powell's successor takes office, as detailed in the attachment. Strategists from the Global Research Department of Bank of America stated that Friday's data solidified their conviction that the Fed will not cut rates again before the incoming Fed Chair takes office.
Next week, US Secretary of State Pompeo plans to meet with officials from Denmark and Greenland. Turmoil sparked by anti-government protests nationwide in Iran, including the capital Tehran, could also impact market risk sentiment in the short term.
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