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Previous Bitcoin Cycles Analyzed, New Peak Emerges for BTC Price – Pay Close Attention to This Level

By: bitcoin ethereum news|2025/05/16 13:45:04
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Cryptocurrency analysis company Alphractal, in its new statement evaluating Bitcoin’s long-term price movements, pointed out that BTC takes on a more mature and consolidated structure with each new cycle. According to Alphractal’s analysis, Bitcoin historically reaches cycle peaks at multiples of the 2-year moving average (2Y SMA), but these peaks occur at lower multiples with each new cycle, indicating that the market is maturing and volatility is decreasing. The company summarized the peaks in past cycles as follows: In the early periods, Bitcoin peaked at 2Y SMA ×15 levels. In 2017, this multiplier dropped to 10. In the 2021 cycle, there was a decline first to ×5, then to ×2.65 levels. In the most recent cycle, Bitcoin failed to re-exceed the 2.65 multiplier, suggesting that gains are narrowing and the market is becoming more stable. Alphractal noted that the current 2Y SMA ×2.65 level is around $159,000, adding that this level will be a significant resistance point if Bitcoin gains momentum. Finally, the company stated, “Although gains are more narrowly realized, the potential to move well beyond the 2-year average in each cycle is still live, indicating continued long-term strength in the market.” *This is not investment advice. Source: https://en.bitcoinsistemi.com/previous-bitcoin-cycles-analyzed-new-peak-emerges-for-btc-price-pay-close-attention-to-this-level/

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