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Rising oil prices suppress expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, strengthening the dollar
According to Jinshi reports, the dollar has strengthened against all major currencies as rising oil prices have prompted swap traders to reduce bets on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates this year. The current market expects a rate cut of about 59 basis points, down from 61 basis points last Friday.
Gareth Berry, a strategist at Macquarie Group in Sydney, stated that this may be an early signal that the market believes sustained increases in oil prices will lead to higher inflation pressures in the U.S., thereby reducing the Fed's willingness to cut rates. Deteriorating risk sentiment has also contributed to the dollar's rise, with S&P 500 futures down 1.5%.
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